China warns BHP on iron ore pricing
October 31st, 2007THE world’s most powerful steel industry has warned BHP Billiton, the world’s biggest miner, that it will get hurt if it acts “dishonourably” by walking away from the iron ore price negotiation system that has been in place for 40 years.
BHP is frustrated at being a price-taker in the iron ore market, where convention requires it to follow a benchmark price set by Brazil’s CVRD, the biggest iron ore producer, with a leading steel maker like Nippon Steel or Baosteel.
BHP is considering a more open “index” trading system that would bring its prices more in line with China’s white-hot iron ore spot market although BHP says the idea would not affect annual negotiations that could start as early as next week.
Some China watchers privately warn that BHP will not necessarily win if it picks a fight with China’s steel industry and, therefore, the Chinese Government.
Chen Xianwen, who heads the iron ore department of China’s top steel industry group, the China Iron & Steel Association, said the benchmark price negotiating system was a code of honour that experienced players would not break.
“It is dishonourable for one party to violate the code,” Mr Chen said, noting that this was his personal view. “It is understandable for a new player to break the code, but they (BHP) have already been in this game for a very long time.”
Sellers who abused their bargaining power for “short-term windfall profits” would be hurt when the market inevitably shifted against them, he said.
“It’s just like making friends. If you do good deeds to the other side they will do good deeds to you,” he said.
The speed of Mr Chen’s reaction was surprising, as Chinese policy positions are typically negotiated among myriad companies and bureaucracies before being publicly released.
Earlier, in a section of a speech prepared for a steel conference but not delivered because of time constraints, a top state planning official hinted that the Chinese Government could intervene if negotiations tilted too far against China’s steel makers.
“The iron ore price must be set by the market,” Xiong Bilin, deputy director of industry at the National Development & Reform Commission, wrote in his speech.
“But iron ore is a crucial input (for) the steel industry and the whole national economy, so the Chinese Government cares about this very much.”
Russell Scrimshaw, executive director of Fortescue Metals, which bills itself as “the new force in iron ore”, believes BHP’s comments could be more about posturing than substance.
“I don’t anticipate in the short term the benchmark system will go away,” he said. “You need to remember that we are in the very early phases of the price negotiation and each side is trying to position itself.”
But many miners would be ecstatic if an open index system replaced months of exhausting negotiations with myriad Chinese steel makers.
“It is a very good idea; I don’t know why they haven’t done it already,” said Yuri Makarov, who heads a new Russian mining company that plans to sell 10 million tonnes of iron ore annually to China within three years.
“It would make our life much easier by reducing negotiations.”

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