Brown puts party on election footing
December 7th, 2007GORDON Brown has put the Labour Party on an election footing, fuelling suggestions he could call a snap poll later this year, as new opinion polls show he has stretched his lead over the Tories during his ‘honeymoon period’ as party leader.
The Prime Minister has ordered all Labour constituency parties to select their would-be MPs in time for the party conference in only six weeks, in a clear sign that he wants to be in a position to call an election to take advantage of his remarkable surge in popularity since taking over from Tony Blair less than two months ago.
Despite enduring his third national crisis since moving into No 10 Downing Street, Brown has managed to pull ahead of the Tories and establish a 10-point lead over party leader David Cameron, according to a new survey out today.
The YouGov survey put Labour up two percentage points at 42% while David Cameron’s Conservatives fell one to 32%. It is the biggest gap registered in the poll since November 2002.
And the good news continued for Brown as he also registered another healthy lead in an ICM poll. It put Labour on 39% to the Conservatives’ 33%.
Significantly, however, Brown’s personal ratings offer the greatest cause for confidence among the New Labour hierarchy. Brown has handled a succession of tough tests, including the failed car bombings in London and Glasgow, record flooding in the Midlands and now the foot and mouth outbreak.
YouGov found 65% of voters believed Brown was doing well - with just 17% saying he was doing badly, while 36% expressed pleasant surprise at how he had performed so far.
But a majority (55%) believed Cameron was performing poorly, with 29% saying he was doing well - an almost complete reversal of his score in April.
Cameron had been expected to take advantage of Brown’s ‘dour’ image and extend the lead he had established during the final months of Blair’s regime.
But the Tories have found Brown a more formidable opponent, while Cameron has also been troubled by internal disputes over his policy on grammar schools and poor by-election results.
The Tories will this week attempt to regain the political agenda by unveiling new proposals aimed at streamlining government and cutting costs. It was reported last night that their plans will include ditching a slew of working time, health and safety, anti-money laundering and care home regulation laws. It is suggested that the cuts could save as much as 14bn of taxpayers’ cash.
One of Brown’s first moves on coming to power was to hand control over election planning to his ally Douglas Alexander, even though Labour does not have to go to the country again until 2010.
The Prime Minister, a veteran electoral strategist, is believed to favour an early election to establish himself as the people’s choice as leader, with a personal mandate earned at a General Election. However, despite expectations that he would aim for an election next spring, the sustained bounce in his poll ratings raises the serious possibility of an earlier move.
“All the constituencies have been told to have their election candidates selected by the start of conference time,” one member of the party’s National Executive Committee confirmed last night. “You could see that as Gordon wanting to establish himself as an efficient leader, and getting the party to do what he wants.
“But it is still very unusual. It could be a case of getting our ducks in a row for an early election or, at the very least, giving him the option of going to the country whenever he wants.”
Brown allies, who had previously suggested that an autumn election was a distinct possibility, remained coy about the latest development last night. One claimed the edict to local parties suited the new leader’s preferences by leaving all options open, but insisted that - polls permitting - next spring remained the most likely date.
Brown’s former spin doctor Charlie Whelan urged caution, insisting that the Prime Minister “will not risk an early election unless he is sure he can win it”.
Whelan said the Brown inner circle would not take a leap in the dark, and pointed out that Ed Miliband, the man who will write Labour’s manifesto, has specifically warned that “it is important that we don’t get carried away with the polls”.
“Even more important is learning the lessons of the past,” Whelan added. “Just as the government has learned from the last foot and mouth outbreak, so Brown has learned just how volatile a modern electorate can be.”
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