Treasurys Drop on Productivity Data
February 6th, 2008(02-06) 06:46 PST NEW YORK, (AP) —
Treasury prices fell Wednesday after a report showed workers producing at a stronger-than-forecast pace and labor costs in check at the end of 2007.
The Labor Department said productivity grew by an annual rate of 1.8 percent in the fourth quarter. The result was down significantly from the 6 percent advance seen in the third quarter, but well above the 0.5 percent gain projected in a Thomson/IFR analysts poll.
Unit labor costs, a key inflation gauge monitored by the Federal Reserve, advanced 2.1 percent in the final quarter, below the 3 percent rise projected by Thomson IFR.
Productivity usually drops off when the economy slows down because companies are left with too many workers for the amount of work on hand. Some economists will use the news to support a case that the economy has entered a recession.
Although Wall Street suffered a case of fright due to recession fears on Tuesday that caused a massive stock selloff, the latest report did not deter investors from trying to send stocks higher at Wednesday’s opening.
The expected gains for stocks put pressure on Treasurys as the two markets often trade in opposite directions.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 11/32 to 105 9/32 with a yield of 3.60 percent, up from 3.56 percent late Tuesday.
The 30-year long bond declined 20/32 to 110 16/32 with a 4.36 percent yield, up from 4.33 percent late Tuesday.
The 2-year note lost 3/32 to 100 11/32 with a yield of 1.95 percent, up from 1.92 percent late Tuesday.
Selling pressure on bonds Wednesday was compounded by the fact the Treasury Department will auction $13 billion in new 10-year Treasury notes in the afternoon. Institutional investors often lighten their Treasury holdings ahead of an auction to make room in their portfolios for new supply.
The Federal Reserve will hold its next regular monetary policy meeting on March 18, but many investors expect the central bank to order another rate cut before then.
The Fed in January cut rates by an unusually large 1.25 percentage points late last month, but many investors think additional easing is needed and the bank has indicated it is willing to reduce the fed funds target down further.
Trading of fed funds futures contracts Wednesday indicated investors think there is a 50 percent chance for a 0.25 percentage point reduction in February.

Posted in 