Bush and Bernanke acknowledge economic pain
NEW YORK: Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve chairman, added fresh warnings on Friday about a gathering wave of home foreclosures bearing down on American communities, while pledging new regulations to limit the impact and crack down on predatory mortgage lending.
“Mortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates have increased substantially over the past year and a half,” Bernanke said during a speech in Washington. “Behind these disturbing statistics are families facing personal and financial hardship and neighborhoods that may be destabilized by clusters of foreclosures.”
“These realities challenge to find ways to prevent unnecessary foreclosures,” and “ensure a regulatory environment that promotes responsible lending,” he added.
President Bush, too, acknowledged Friday that the nations economy was going through troubled times, but cautioned against overreacting to current problems, saying such actions could cause longer-term problems.
Speaking at the Economic Club of New York, Bush said “in a free market economy there will be good times and bad times” and acknowledged “were going through a hard time.”
Bush praised Bernanke saying he was “doing a good job under tough circumstances.”
But the Fed chairmans words before the annual meeting of the National Community Reinvestment Coalition were perhaps most notable for what they left unsaid: At a time of grave concern about a recession that many economists believe has already begun, Bernanke offered no clues as to whether another cut in interest rates is in the offing when Fed governors convene on Tuesday.
Nor did Bernanke touch on intensifying fears about the global credit shortage spawned by the unraveling of American mortgage markets. The severity of that crisis was brought home with stunning clarity by the mornings news that Bear Stearns, the venerable Wall Street investment bank, was leaning on emergency financing from JPMorgan Chase and the New York Federal Reserve.
Even before the public distress call from Bear Stearns, markets had already assumed the Fed would drop the federal funds rate by at least half a point and probably three-fourths of a point at next weeks meeting.
In aggressively lowering the rate on what banks charge each other for overnight loans in recent months, the Fed has been seeking to stir economic activity: Lower rates make it easier for banks to get their hands on cash, which traditionally makes them more likely to lend, giving businesses the wherewithal to invest and hire workers.
But lower interest rates also tend to increase inflation, because more easily flowing money leads to more buying, which pushes prices up.
As it has dropped rates, the Fed has acknowledged longer-term concerns that this easing could ultimately worsen inflation, even while concluding that the immediate threats to the economy - tight credit, plummeting home prices and a deteriorating jobs market - demand freer credit at once.
Data released by the government on Friday morning appeared to give the Fed a little extra room to tilt further toward stimulating the economy while worrying less about inflation: The Consumer Price Index showed that inflation was essentially flat in February. That lent some credence to the argument that as the economy slows, this will diminish demand for goods, and that will automatically apply the brakes to price increases.
Many analysts, however, argue that the February figure was an aberration. Gasoline and food prices have been rising sharply, and this should be reflected in the data for March, removing whatever cushion Fridays numbers appeared to provide.
None of this occupied Bernankes time at the podium in Washington. Instead, the Fed chairman focused on the widening crisis in American real estate, while advertising the merits of a set of proposed new regulations he unveiled in December.
